Return to Amstat Online

Numeric Forecasts


There are currently 76 submissions


Forecasts about general topics


How many female US presidents will there have been by 2039? (whole number between 0 and 10)

 


What percentage of new automobile sales in the US in 2039 will be powered entirely by alternative fuels (i.e., other than gasoline)? (At the present time, that percentage is about 15 percent.)


 


At this point, about 66% of American households are in homes they own. What will that percentage be in 2039? (whole number between 0 and 100)


 


About 4.5% of the world's population now lives in the US. What will that percentage be in 2039? (enter a one decimal number between 0 and 9.9)


 


How many major sports championships (football, baseball, basketball, and hockey) will be won by Boston sports franchises between 2014 and 2039? (whole number between 0 and 100)


 


Does it bother you, when entering these forecasts, to know that you are willingly taking part in a convenience sample? (yes, no)





Forecasts about the ASA


The ASA currently has about 18,500 members. In 1989, at our 150th anniversary, we had about 14,900 members. How many members will we have in 2039? (whole number between 0 and 99,999)


Median Prediction: 23000

 


As of now, about 11% of ASA members live outside the US. What percentage will live outside the US in 2039? (whole number between 0 and 100)


 


The ASA currently has 24 sections. In 1989 we had 12 sections. How many will we have in 2039? (whole number between 0 and 200)


Median Prediction: 33

 


The ASA currently has 73 chapters. In 1989 we had 76 chapters. How many will we have in 2039? (whole number between 0 and 200)


Median Prediction: 76