JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2008 Joint Statistical Meetings in Denver, Colorado.
Back to main JSM 2008 Program page

View My Program  /  View My Program (condensed)  /  What is My Program?


Some sessions have been moved to accommodate conflicts. Session numbers were resequenced April 4, 2008. This online program reflects these changes and always includes the most up-to-date information.


Activity Number: 453
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 6, 2008 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract - #302607
Title: A Model of Playing Time for Pitchers in Major League Baseball
Author(s): Michael Greene*+
Companies: Deloitte Consulting, LLP
Address: 70 Burbank St Apt 18, Boston, MA, 02115,
Keywords: Baseball injuries ; playing time model ; prediction of playing time
Abstract:

Injuries to baseball players heavily influence the statistical output of a baseball player over time. Missing time due to injuries complicates the prediction of a player's future performance. Collecting comprehensive data on injuries is difficult, thus no complete databases are available. Injured players often continue to play, which can exacerbate injuries and reduce performance. We propose a model for expected playing time for pitchers based on performance and player characteristics. The model is constructed using data from the 2005-2007 seasons and blind validation is applied to demonstrate the power of the model. This flexible model allows for the calculation of expected playing time for pitcher on a weekly basis during the season. Such a tool is useful not only for analysis, but also for teams to monitor players for possible injuries based on decreases in performance.


  • The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
  • Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2008 program


JSM 2008 For information, contact jsm@amstat.org or phone (866) 421-7169. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised September, 2008