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Activity Number: 488
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2012 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: SPAIG Committee
Abstract - #303901
Title: Methodological Aspects of Pre-Election Polling
Author(s): Michael W. Traugott*+
Companies: University of Michigan
Address: 426 Thompson St., Ann Arbor, MI, 48106-1248,
Keywords:
Abstract:

While the accuracy of pre-election polls in the general election has been steadily improving, there have been recent problems with pre-election polls in primaries and caucuses in the United States and in sub-national elections in a number of other countries. This paper will describe recent experiences with pre-election in a comparative context and discuss the range of sources for these problems, including sampling, interviewing, and likely voter model issues.


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