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Journal of
Agricultural,
Biological, and
Environmental
Statistics


A journal of applied statistics.
Published by the American Statistical Association and the International Biometric Society.

Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, Vol. 2, No. 4, pp. 490–512
The Effects of Influential Observations on Sample Semivariograms
Sabyasachi Basu, Richard F. Gunst, Elizabeth A. Guertal, & Molly I. Hartfield

Optimal prediction of the values of regionalized variables or the means of random fields is often accomplished by using kriging methods. These methods rely on satisfactory estimation of the underlying spatial semivariograms and the fitting of semivariogram models. Individual observations can have a dramatic effect on sample semivariograms because each observation is used many times in the calculation of the semivariogram values. Anomalous observations may induce spikes, give rise to sharp peaks, shift the entire semivariogram upwards, or induce a linear trend in the sample semivariogram plot. In this article, all four of these outlier-induced aberrations are illustrated using two widely differing datasets: one on soil nutrient concentrations, the other on global temperatures. A number of graphical techniques are used to locate individual influential data values and spatially cohesive clusters of influential values. In addition, quantitative methods for detecting influential observations are discussed.

Key Words
Diagnostics; Global warming; Kriging; Optimal Interpolation; Regression; Soil nutrient concentrations; Spatial Modeling.

Sabyasachi Basu is Applied Statistician, J.C. Penney, Inc., Plano, TX 75024. Richard F. Gunst is Professor of Statistics, and Molly I. Hartfield is Research Associate, Department of Statistical Science, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, TX 75275. Elizabeth A. Guertal is Assistant Professor, Department of Agronomy and Soils, Auburn University, Auburn, AL 36849.


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