Proceedings of the Survey Research Methods Section, American Statistical Association (1982)

INVITED PAPERS BY TOPIC

I. RESPONSE EFFECTS IN SURVEYS (Dedicated to Robert Ferber)
Chair: SEYMOUR SUDMAN, University of Illinois
Organizer: CHARLES TURNER, National Academy of Sciences

Response Effects in Survey Measurements of Net Worth - ROBERT B. PEARL, University of Illinois ............... 1

The Norm of Even-Handedness in Surveys as in Life - HOWARD SCHUMAN, JACOB LUDWIG, University of Michigan ............... 11

Discussion - KENT H. MARQUIS, Bureau of the Census ............... 19

 

II. IMPUTATION IN SURVEYS
Chair:
WESLEY SCHAIBLE, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Organizer: FRITZ J. SCHEUREN, Internal Revenue Service

Imputing for Missing Survey Responses - GRAHAM KALTON, University of Michigan; DANIEL KASPRZYK, Social Security Administration ............... 22

Discussion - BRIAN GREENBERG, Bureau of the Census ............... 32

 

III. DATA ANALYSIS FROM COMPLEX SAMPLE SURVEY DESIGNS
Chair: JOHN M. CHAMBERS, Bell Laboratories
Organizer: CHARLES D. COWAN, Bureau of the Census

Software for Inference on Linear Models from Survey Data - B.V. SHAH, LISA MORRISSEY LaVANGE, Research Triangle Institute ............... 34

The Use of OSIRIS IV to Analyze Complex Sample Survey Data - JAMES M. LEPKOWSKI, University of Michigan ............... 38

Contingency Table Analysis for Complex Sample Designs: CPLX - ROBERT FAY, Bureau of the Census ............... 44

Discussion - D.R. BELLHOUSE, University of Western Ontario ............... 54

 

IV. APPROACHES FOR MODELING REAL WORLD PROBLEMS A LA HOH
(Dedicated to H.O. Hartley)
Chair/Organizer:
PAUL P. BIEMER, Bureau of the Census

Satellite Agricultural Surveys--Contributions of H.O. Hartley - CECIL HALLUM, University of Houston at Clear Lake; RAJ CHRIKARA, Lockheed Engineering and Management Services, Co., Inc. ............... 56

Incorporating Partially Classified Sample Segments into NASA Acreage Estimation Procedures - ROBERT L. SIELKEN, Jr., Texas A&M University ............... 63

Compartment Model Methods in Estimating Cancer Costs - H. DENNIS TOLLEY, Battelle, Pacific Northwest Laboratories; KENNETH G. MANTON, ERIC STALLARD, Duke University ............... 70

Discussion - H.F. HUDDLESTON, Data Collection & Analysis ............... 75

 

V. EFFECT OF DATA COLLECTION METHODS ON NONRESPONSE
Chair: BENJAMIN F. KING, University of Washington
Organizer: JOSEPH SEDRANSK, SUNY—Albany

Substitution for Missing Units - DAVID W. CHAPMAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 76

Call-Backs: An Update - PODURI S.R.S. RAO, University of Rochester ............... 85

Randomized Response - L.J. EMRICH, Roswell Park Memorial Institute ............... 88

Respondent Selection Procedures Within Households - ALAN ROSHWALB, University of Michigan ............... 93

 

CONTRIBUTED PAPERS BY TOPIC
I. ESTIMATING VARIANCES
Chair: GARY M. SHAPIRO, Bureau of the Census

On the Variance of a Total Estimate Over a Subpopulation - SHIEN S. PERNG, Internal Revenue Service ............... 99

Improved Variance Estimators Using Weighting Class Adjustments for Sample Survey Nonresponse - SHELTON M. JONES, JAMES R. CHROMY, Research Triangle Institute ............... 105

A Multivariate Methodology for Analyzing Data From Stratified Multi-Stage Sampling Surveys - ROBERT E. HAUSMAN, ARIDAMAN K. JAIN, Bell Laboratories ............... 111

Subsample Replication Applied to Data From the General Social Surveys - NEIL W. HENRY, PING YIN KUAN, Virginia Commonwealth University ............... 117

Sample Design, Estimation, and Presentation of Sampling Errors for the 1980 Census Provisional Estimates of Social, Economic and Housing Characteristics - MILTON C. FAN, JOHN H. ThOMPSON, JAY KIM, HENRY F. WOLTMAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 121

Automation of Sampling Error Computations for Complex Estimators - DAVID MORGANSTEIN, ROBERT H. HANSON, GREG BINZER, Westat, Inc. ............... 127

 

II · TELEPHONE INTERVIEWING
Chair: BARBARA BAILAR, Bureau of the Census

The Design and Selection of a Sample for the Bureau of the Census Random Digit Dialing Experiment - MARY MULRY-LIGGAN, DAVID W. CHAPMAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 133

Effect of Weighting Adjustments on Estimates From a Random-Digit-Dialed Telephone Survey - STEVEN L. BOTMAN, JAMES T. MASSEY, IRIS M. SHIMIZU, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 139

Telephone Screening for Rare Characteristics Using Multiplicity Counting Rules - JANE W. BERGSTEN, STEPHANIE A. PIERSON, Research Triangle Institute ............... 145

Nonresponse in Dual Frame Surveys Based on Area/List and Telephone Frames - MONROE G. SIRKEN, ROBERT J. CASADY, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 151

Alternative Dual Frame Mixed Mode Survey Designs - ROBERT M. GROVES, JAMES M. LEPKOWSKI, University of Michigan ............... 154

 

III. FEDERAL COMMITTEE ON STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY
Chair: JOSEPH W. DUNCAN, Dun & Bradstreet
Organizer: MARIA E. GONZALEZ, Office of Management and Budget

Organization of a Federal Committee on Statistical Methodology - MARIA ELENA GONZALEZ, Office of Management and Budget ............... 160

Contracting for Statistical Surveys--Approaching the Problems - NANCY D. PEARCE, National Center for Health Statistics; HENRY P. BREHM, Social Security Administration ............... 165

Statistical Interagency Agreements - MONROE G. SIRKEN, National Center for Health Statistics; THOMAS C. WALSH, DAWN NELSON, Bureau of the Census; MARIA E. GONZALEZ, Office of Management and Budget ............... 171

An Interagency Review of Time-Series Revision Policies - YVONNE M. BISHOP, PAUL J. WERBOS, Energy Information Administration ............... 180

Data Collection Methods in Federal Statistical Surveys - OWEN THORNBERRY, Jr., National Center for Health Statistics; WILLIAM L. NICHOLLS, II, Bureau of the Census; STANLEY KULPINSKI, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 185

Discussion - MARGARET E. MARTIN, Committee on National Statistics ............... 191

 

IV. HOUSEHOLD SAMPLE SURVEY REDESIGN
Chair: JOSEPH WAKSBERG, Westat, Inc.
Organizer: RAMESWAR P. CHAKRABARTY, Bureau of the Census

Planned Improvements in the Redesign of the Census Bureau Demographic Surveys as the Result of Recent Research - GARY M. SHAPIRO, Bureau of the Census ............... 193

The Redesign of the Current Population Survey: The Investigation into Alternate Rotation Plans - ROBERT TEGELS, LAWRENCE S. CAHOON, Bureau of the Census ............... 199

Within-PSU Sampling for the Census Bureau's Demographic Surveys - EDWARD KOBILARCIK, RONALD STATT, THOMAS F. MOORE, Bureau of the Census ............... 205
A System for Replacing Primary Sampling Units When the Units Have Been Exhausted - CHARLES H. ALEXANDER, LAWRENCE R. ERNST, MICHAEL E. HAAS, Bureau of the Census ............... 211

Determining the Optimum Number of Primary Sampling Units to be Selected for the Health Interview Survey - WILLIAM H. TADROS, THOMAS F. MOORE, R.P. CHAKRABARTY, Bureau of the Census ............... 217

Discussion - JOSEPH WAKSBERG, Westat, Inc. ............... 223

 

V. SAMPLING THEORY
Chair: JAY KIM, Bureau of the Census

Does SRS Provide Adequate Balance? - WILLIAM G. CUMBERLAND, University of California at Los Angeles; RICHARD M. ROYALL, Johns Hopkins University ............... 226

Sampling on Two Occasions with PPSWOR - G.H. CHOUDHRY, Statistics Canada; JACK E. GRAHAM, Carleton University ............... 230

The Double Sampling Scheme and Its E(MSE) - CAMILLA A. BROOKS, WILLIAM D. KALSBEEK, University of North Carolina ............... 235

 

VI. METHODOLOGICAL ADVANCES FOR ADMINISTRATIVE RECORD SYSTEMS
Chair: IRENE HESS, University of Michigan
Organizer: WENDY ALVEY, Internal Revenue Service

Corporation Statistics of Income: Data Testing - JAMES E. BAHNKE, TIMOTHY D. WHEELER, Internal Revenue Service ............... 240

More Quality for the Money in Statistics of Income - OTTO SCHWARTZ, Internal Revenue Service ............... 244

Post-Stratification Approaches in the Corporation Statistics of Income Program - JAMES M. HARTE, Internal Revenue Service ............... 250

Imputation of Missing Items on Corporate Balance Sheets - SUSAN M. HINKINS, Internal Revenue Service ............... 254

Measures of Confidentiality - NANCY L. SPRUILL, Center for Naval Analyses ............... 260

Discussion - DANIEL KASPRZYK, Social Security Administration ............... 266

Rejoinder - JAMES E. BAHNKE, TIMOTHY D. WHEELER, OTTO SCHWARTZ, JAMES M. HARTE, SUSAN M. HINKINS, Internal Revenue Service; NANCY L. SPRUILL, Center for Naval Analyses ............... 268

 

VII. STATISTICAL USES OF ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS
Chair: DANIEL MELNICK, Library of Congress
Organizer: WENDY ALVEY, Internal Revenue Service

Statistics from Individual Income Tax Returns: Quality Issues - BETH KILSS, FRITZ SCHEUREN, Internal Revenue Service ............... 271

A Review of Industry Coding Systems - MICHAEL G. FARRELL, CARL A. KONSCHNIK, Bureau of the Census; THOMAS B. JABINE, Committee on National Statistics ............... 278

The Use of Unemployment Insurance Records to Derive an Unemployment Indicator - JOHN LEYES, ELLEN BOBET, LOUISE RADLEY, Statistics Canada ............... 284

Administrative Data on Subsidized Housing - PAUL BURKE, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development ............... 288

Further Investigation into Mortality Coverage in Social Security Administration Data - LINDA DELBENE, FAYE AZIZ, Social Security Administration ............... 292

Size of Employment in SOI: A New Classifier - PAUL ROSE, LINDA TAYLOR, Internal Revenue Service ............... 298

Development of a National Record Linkage Program in Canada - MARTHA E. SMITH, Statistics Canada ............... 303

 

VIII. ESTIMATING NONSAMPLING ERRORS
Chair: WRAY SMITH, Energy Information Administration

An Approach to Evaluating the Accuracy of Energy Data Series - ARTHUR R. SILVERBERG, Food & Drug Administration ............... 309

A Bayesian Treatment of Nonresponse When Sampling From a Dichotomous Population - JAMES H. ALBERT, Bowling Green State University ............... 314
Estimating Upper and Lower Bounds of Census Nonsampling Variance - PAUL P. BIEMER, Bureau of the Census ............... 318

Some Effects of Frame Deficiencies on Estimates - WILLIAM E. WINKLER, Department of Energy ............... 323

Effect of the 1978 Census of Agriculture Area Sample on Census Estimates - DAVID D. CHAPMAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 329

 

IX. RESULTS FROM THE INCOME SURVEY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM
Chair: GORDON GREENE, Bureau of the Census
Organizers: DANIEL KASPRZYK, CHARLES LININGER, Social Security Administration

Analyzing In-Kind Benefits Using the 1979 ISDP Panel Data - MARILYN E. MANSER, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. ............... 335

Composition of the Personal Wealth of American Households at the Start of the Eighties - ROBERT B. PEARL, MATILDA FRANKEL, University of Illinois ............... 341
Household Income and Poverty Statistics Under Alternative Measures of Household and Family Composition - JOHN L. CZAJKA, CONSTANCE F. CITRO, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. ............... 347

Monthly Variation in Family Income and Program Participation - JONATHAN P. LANE, Consultant; CHARLES A. LININGER, Social Security Administration ............... 353

Discussion - COURTENAY SLATER, CEC Associates ............... 357

Discussion - MARTIN DAVID, University of Wisconsin-Madison ............... 358

 

X. SURVEY METHODS
Chair: CHARLES COWAN, Bureau of the Census

A Record Check Experiment in the Measurement of Victimization - PETER V. MILLER, ROBERT M. GROVES, VELMA HANDLIN, University of Michigan ............... 360

Using an Edit System to Develop Editing Specifications - BRIAN GREENBERG, Bureau of the Census ............... 366
A Recall Experiment: Impact of Time on Recall of Recreational Fishing Trips - BARBARA GEMS, Electronic Data Systems; DHIRENDRA GHOSH, Statistical Consultant; ROBERT A. HITLIN, American University ............... 372
Mover Follow-Up Costs for the Income Survey Development Program - GLENN D. WHITE, Jr., HERTZ HUANG, Bureau of the Census ............... 376
Optimal Selection of the T Best of a Sequence with Sampling Cost - HWA-MING YANG, University of Toledo ............... 382

 

XI. DESIGN AND DEVELOPMENT
Chair: FRED VOGEL, U.S. Department of Agriculture

Methodology for an Integrated Health Interview and Examination Survey in Egypt - RAMSIS A. GOMAA, Ministry of Health, ARE; E. EARL BRYANT, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 388

Use of a Population Census to Construct an Agricultural List Frame - DIANA LOPEZ-MEISEL, DAVID J. MEGILL, Bureau of the Census ............... 392
Problems in Sampling Nomadic Populations - WILLIAM D. KALSBEEK, University of North Carolina; ANNE R. CROSS, Westinghouse Health Systems ............... 398

Analysis of Textual Data Using Dual Scaling - NICOLE ARNAL, Direction Generale des Telecommunications; LUDOVIC LEBART, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique ............... 403

The Covariate Unrelated Question Randomized Response Model - N.J. SCHEERS, C. MITCHELL DAYTON, University of Maryland ............... 407

 

XII. ESTIMATION ISSUES
Chair: JOHN THOMPSON, Bureau of the Census

Shrinkage Estimators for the Mean of a Stratified Normal Population - RICHARD E. AUER, Loyola College; CHIEN-PAI HAN, University of Texas at Arlington ............... 411

Optimal Estimation of Change in Sample Surveys - GOSTA FORSMAN, TOMAS GARAS, Statistics Sweden, Stockholm ............... 417

Rotation Group Bias in the LFS Estimates - P.D. GHANGURDE, Statistics Canada ............... 421

Imputing Historical Statistics: Soils Information, and Other Land-Use Data to Crop Area - CHARLES R. PERRY, Jr., RONALD W. WILLIS, LYLE LAUTENSCHLAGER, U.S. Department of Agriculture ............... 427

Imputation of Income: A Procedural Comparison - TIMOTHY F. CHAMPNEY, RALPH BELL, University of Chicago ............... 431

An Integrative Framework for Mail Survey Response - DAVID H. FURSE, DAVID W. STEWART, Vanderbilt University ............... 437

 

XIII. APPLICATIONS OF ADMINISTRATIVE RECORD DATA
Chair: ROGER H. BUGENHAGEN, Bureau of the Census
Organizer: WENDY ALVEY, Internal Revenue Service

Automatic and Manual Edits for Corporation Income Tax Returns - KAREN CYS, SUSAN HINKINS, VICTOR REHULA, Internal Revenue Service ............... 443

Using Financial Statement Data to Evaluate the Status of Small Business - DAVID A. HIRSCHBERG, BRUCE D. PHILLIPS, Small Business Administration ............... 449

Results of Coverage and Processing Changes to the 1980 Individual Statistics of Income Program - PETER SAILER, CHARLES HICKS, DAVE WATSON, DAN TREVORS, Internal Revenue Service ............... 452

An Initial Look at Preparing Local Estimates of Household Size from Income Tax Returns - RICHARD IRWIN, ROGER HERRIOT, Bureau of the Census ............... 459

The Private Foundation in a Pluralistic Society - THOMAS B. PETSKA, Internal Revenue Service ............... 465

Discussion - PAUL BURKE, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development ............... 471

 

XIV. SATELLITE AGRICULTURAL SURVEYS (Dedicated to H.O. Hartley)
Chair: RAYMOND J. JESSEN, University of California at Los Angeles
Organizer: CECIL HALLUM, University of Houston

County-Level Crop Area Estimates from LANDSAT: Evaluation of the Battese-Fuller Estimator - GAIL WALKER, RICHARD SIGMAN, U.S. Department of Agriculture ............... 473
Classification Models and Proportion Estimation - WAYNE A. WOODWARD, H.L. GRAY, Southern Methodist University ............... 479
On the Linear Regression of True Observations with Classifier Derived Estimates - RICHARD P. HEYDORN, NASA Johnson Space Center ............... 485
Multiyear, Through-the-Season Crop Acreage Estimation Using Estimated Acreage in Sample Segments - ROBERT L. SIELKEN, Jr., Texas A&M University ............... 490

A Crop Area Estimator Based on Changes in the Temporal Profile of a Vegetative Index - JAMES H. SMITH, DANIEL B. RAMEY, Lockheed Engineering and Management Services Company, Inc. ............... 495

Discussion - EMIL H. JEBE, Environmental Research Institute of Michigan ............... 499

 

XV. DESIGN ISSUES IN SURVEYS
Chair: ROBERT E. FAY, III, Bureau of the Census

Quality Control Sampling in Food Stamp and AFDC Programs - ROBERT VOGEL, DONNA BROGAN, Emory University ............... 502

Nonsampling Error Considerations in the Design of the National Household Pesticide Usage Survey - DOUGLAS J. DRUMMOND, RICHARD D. WADDELL, Research Triangle Institute ............... 505

The Efficiency of Estimating Correlation with Two Forms of the Randomized Response Technique - STEPHEN E. EDGELL, SAMUEL HIMMELFARB, DARRELL J. CIRA, University of Louisville ............... 511

A Quasi-Experimental Analysis of Personal Victimization Reporting by Household Respondents in the National Crime Survey - ALBERT D. BIDERMAN, DAVID CANTOR, Bureau of Social Science Research, Inc.; ALBERT J. REISS, Jr., Yale University ............... 516

Rotation Sampling Designs - E.E. GBUR, R.L. SIELKEN, Jr., Texas A&M University ............... 522

 

XVI. ANALYSIS ISSUES IN COMPLEX SAMPLE SURVEYS
Chair: KENT H. MARQUIS, Bureau of the Census

An Evaluation of Survey Data Analysis Design Effect Adjustments - RICK L. WILLIAMS, Research Triangle Institute ............... 525

X2-Testing of Categorical Data from Nested Design Using the Correction Factor Estimated From Analysis of Variance Components - JAI W. CHOI, ROBERT J. CASADY, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 531

A Life Table Regression Analysis for Complex Survey Data - KEVIN F. O'BRIEN, East Carolina University; C.M. SUCHINDRAN, University of North Carolina ............... 537

Variance Reduction and Unbiasedness for Small Domain Estimators - GORAN RABACK, Statistics Sweden, Stockholm; CARL-ERIK SARNDAL, Universite de Montreal ............... 541

Evaluation of Small Area Estimation Techniques for the Canadian Labour Force Survey - J.D. DREW, M.P. SINGH, G.H. CHOUDERY, Statistics Canada ............... 545

A Comparison of Some Estimators in Sampling for a Time Series with Linear Trend - STEPHEN M. WOODRUFF, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 551

Empirical Study of Effect on Variances Due to Sampling Pairs of Consecutive Weeks in a National Health Interview Survey Experiment - IRIS SHIMIZU, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 557

 

CONTRIBUTED PAPERS--POSTER SESSIONS

Family Unit Analysis in the National Medical Care Expenditure Survey - STEVEN B. COHEN, National Center for Health Services Research ............... 561

Salary Survey of Mathematicians and Statisticians - GLENN BEATTY, Battelle, Columbus Laboratories ............... 567

Variances for Subdomains of Multistage Cluster Samples: The Delta and Bootstrap Methods - ALAN B. FORSYTHE, BMDP/University of California at Los Angeles; RICHARD HOUGH, AUDREY BURNAM, University of California at Los Angeles ............... 572

The Efficacy of Plus-One Dialing: Self Reported Status - GARY M. MULLET, Sophisticated Data Research, Inc. ............... 575

Results of Random Digit Dialing Survey Methods in a Rural State - TAKAMARU ASHIKAGA, CAROLYN J. GREENE, MICHAEL R. YOUNG, BRIAN V. MacPHERSON, University of Vermont ............... 577