National Security Methods Conference

The First Annual Conference on Quantitative Methods & Statistical Applications in Defense and National Security

Sponsored by the American Statistical Association, with support from RAND

February 15-16, 2006

RAND Corporation
1776 Main Street
Santa Monica, CA 90401

The goal of the conference is to promote collaboration between those with quantitative national security problems (e.g., defense and homeland security practitioners) and those who solve quantitative problems (e.g., statisticians, mathematicians, operations researchers, engineers, and others). The conference strives to promote collaboration by focusing on problems, data, and solutions in the national security arena.

Keynote Speaker

Secretary William Perry

19th US Secretary of Defense (1994-1997)
presently a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution


Agenda

Wednesday, 15 February 2006

 

Track A
Chair: Ron Fricker (NPS)

Track B
Chair: Lara Schmidt (RAND)

8:00-8:30

Conference Registration

8:30-10:00

Plenary Session:
Keynote Address: Secretary William Perry

10:00-10:30

Break

10:30-12:00

Panel Discussion:
“Privacy protection in an era of data mining and record linking”
Chair: Alan Karr (NISS)
Panelists:

  • Larry Cox, (National Center for Health Statistics) SLIDES
  • George Duncan, (Carnegie Mellon)
  • Jerry Reiter (Duke) ABSTRACT and SLIDES

Invited Session:
“Infrastructure”
Chair: David Banks (Duke)
Talks:

  • “Natural Disasters – Physical and Social Impact of Robust, yet Fragile Phenomena”, Jean Carlson (UCSB)
  • “Simulation for Critical Infrastructure Protection”, Lisa Moore (LANL)
  • “Data Confidentiality: Secure Statistics in Horizontally-Partitioned Problems”, Francisco Vera (NISS)

12:00-1:30

Lunch

1:30-3:00

Invited Session:
“Syndromic Surveillance”
Chair: Ron Fricker, Naval Postgraduate School
Talks:

  • “Evaluation of Syndromic Surveillance Systems from a Public Health Perspective”, Mike Stoto (RAND)
  • “Systematic Comparison Of Algorithms Used In Syndromic Surveillance”, Mike Jackson (University of Washington) ABSTRACT
  • “Public health practice related to syndromic surveillance”, Jeff Jacobs (San Diego County Health and Human Services Agency)

Invited Session:
“Network Analysis”
Chair: Lionel Galway, RAND
Talks:

  • “Network Analysis: Some Applications in National Security Analysis”, Eric Larson (RAND)
  • “Why Social Networks Matter: Insufficiency of Homogeneous Mixing for Epidemic Models”, Nick Hengartner (LANL) and Meg Blume-Kohout (RAND)
  • “Estimating unobserved nodes and links in social networks with an emphasis on terror networks”, Douglas Steinley (U Missouri)
  • “Dynamic Network Analysis in Information Operations:┬  A Process for Near Real-time Assessment of Atmospherics, Socio-Political Landscape, and Leverage Points”, LTC┬  John Graham (US Military Academy)

3:00-3:30

Break

3:30-5:00

Panel Discussion:
“Statistical Opportunities in Biometrics”
Chair: Michael Schuckers (St. Lawrence)
Panelists:

  • Nick Orlans (DoD Biometrics Fusion Center)
  • Peter Imrey (Cleveland Clinic Foundation)
  • Jonathon Phillips (NIST)

Invited Session:
“Space Topics”
Chair: Matt Hejduk, Titan Corporation
Talks:

  • “Space Analysis: Challenges in AFSPC - A Quantitative Look”, Col Tom Walker (Air Force Space Command)
  • “Satellite Orbit Covariance Data: A Non-Gaussian Quagmire”, Melissa Kerchner (MITRE)
  • “Approaches to Satellite Characterization: the Stochastic/Deterministic Divide”, Matt Hejduk (Titan)

5:00-6:00

Poster Session and Reception

Thursday, 16 February 2006

 

Track C
Chair: David Banks (Duke)

Track D
Chair: Wendy Martinez (ONR)

8:30-10:00

Invited Session:
“Computer Security”
Chair: David Banks (Duke)
Talks:

  • “Metrics for Protection in Computer/Information Systems”, Phil Anton (RAND)
  • “Statistical Applications in Compute and Network Security”, David Marchette (Naval Surface Warfare Center) SLIDES
  • “Data Mining for Slow and Low Intrusion Detection”, Joseph Mathews (NRL), Vijay Desai, Terry Barker, and Lizhong Wu (Sas Institute)

Invited Session:
“Data Mining”
Chair: Jeffrey Solka (NSWC)
Talks:

  • "Finding the needle when you don't know what the haystack looks like: sifting through massive amounts of intelligence", Christopher Melh (DIA)
  • "Statistical text mining", Padhraic Smyth (UC Irvine)
  • "Identification of malicious off-topic intranet search queries based on statistical word associations", Jeffrey Colombe (MITRE)

10:00-10:30

Break

10:30-12:00

Invited Session:
“Visualization”
Chair: Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Lab
Talks:

  • “Automated Meta-Data”, Ed Wegman (GMU)
  • “Visualization, Knowledge Globalization, and Disruptive Technologies”, Pranab Banerjee (Space Dynamics Lab) ABSTRACT and SLIDES
  • “Lie Detection with fMRI”, Warren Bilker (University of Pennsylvania)

Invited Session:
“Information Integration”
Chair: Mallikarjun Sharkar, Oak Ridge National Lab
Talks:

  • “Sensor Networks Data Integration for Analysis and Interoperability”, Arjun Shankar (Oak Ridge National Lab)
  • “Basic research needs in SensorNet”, Auroop Ganguly (Oak Ridge National Lab)
  • “Mining High-Dimensional Data for Information Fusion: A database-centric approach”, Jacek Myczkowski (Oracle)

12:00-1:30

Lunch

1:30-3:00

Invited Session:
“Simulation & Modeling”
Chair: David Banks (Duke)
Talks:

  • “Uncertainty Quantification for Combining Experimental Data and Computer Simulations”, Brian Williams (LANL)
  • “Bayesian Inference for Computer Models Using Treed Gaussian Processes”, Herbie Lee (UCSC) ABSTRACT and SLIDES
  • “Learning Individual Speech Patterns”, Michael Last (NISS)

Panel Discussion:
“Anomaly Detection for Asymmetric Threats”
Chair: Wendy Martinez, ONR
Moderator: Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Lab
Panelists:

  • Myron Katzoff (CDC) ABSTRACT and SLIDES
  • Alex Luebke (Brandes)
  • Other Speakers from Sessions D1 and D2

3:00-3:30

Break

3:30-5:00

Invited Session:
"Statistical Methods for Chemical & Biological Attacks within Buildings"
Chair: Brent Pulsipher, Pacific Northwest National Lab
Talks:

  • “Counting, Accounting, and Statistical Sampling”, Sushil Sharma (US Government Accountability Office)
  • “Restoration of Large Transportation Facilities after a CBW Incident: Sampling Plans and Statistics”, Don MacQueen (Lawrence Livermore National Lab)
  • “Deriving Sampling Plans for Chemical, Biological, or Radionuclide Contamination Within Buildings Using Visual Sample Plan (VSP)”, Brent Pulsipher (Pacific NW National Lab)
  • “Spatial estimation of indoor air contaminant deposition”, Sean McKenna (Sandia National Lab)

Invited Session:
“System Models in Defense”
Chair: C. Anderson-Cook (LANL)
Talks:

  • “Broader System Modeling Including Human Interactions with the System”, Stephen Johnson (UCCS) ABSTRACT and SLIDES
  • “Building System Models through System Ethnography”, Andrew Koehler (LANL) ABSTRACT and SLIDES
  • “Modeling System Reliability using Component Covariates and Reliabilities and System Covariates”, Christine Anderson-Cook (LANL) ABSTRACT and SLIDES

Poster Session

Program Committee

General Chair:
Dr. Nancy Spruill, Office of the Secretary of Defense
Technical Program Chair:
Dr. Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation
Track Chairs:
Dr. Ron Fricker, Naval Postgraduate School
Dr. Wendy Martinez, Office of Naval Research
Dr. David Banks, Duke University

Inquiries about the conference should be directed to Lara_Schmidt@rand.org.