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© 2002-2007
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NEWS Winners of the Student Paper Award for 2009 Winners of the Student Paper Award for 2009
2005 Homeland Defense: How Are We Meeting the New Challenges?In the September 2005 issue of Amstat News, David Banks provides a nice commentary on the need to make the statistician's role more prominent in the homeland defense arena. His two page article cites the work of many talented individuals and why we should be at the head of the table and not on the sidelines as backup players. Check out this informative article. ASA Publications. 2005 New OfficersCongratulations and best wishes to the new Risk Analysis Section Officers that are beginning January 1st, 2005. Our new Chair-Elect is Susan M. Sereika from the University of Pittsburgh; and the new Program Chair-Elect is Ingo Ruczinski is from Johns Hopkins University. For more details about our officiers, check the Officers page. 2004 Paper Awardee at JSMCongratulations and best wishes to A. John Bailer from Miami University for his presentation on Model Uncertainty and Risk Estimation for Quantal Responses. 2004 OfficersCongratulations and best wishes to the new Risk Analysis Section Officers that are beginning January 1st, 2004. The new Chair-Elect is David Banks, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; new Program Chair-Elect is Steven A. Anderson, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; returning Secretary/Treasurer is Lee R. Abramson, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, and the new Publications Officer is Jana L. Asher, Carnegie Mellon University. 2003 Student Paper AwardCongratulations and best wishes to M. Brent McHenry, University of Pittsburgh for receiving the 2003 Student Paper Award on his paper entitled, "A Modified Estimator for the Cumulative Covariate Effect in Aalen's Additive Risk Model". Lee Abramson Receives the NRC Distinguished Service Award"Lee R. Abramson received the NRC Distinguished Service Award from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) In recognition of his service as the agency's primary authority on the development and application of statistical methods to resolve pressing issues in nuclear regulation. The Distinguished Service Award is the highest honor granted by the NRC to an individual. It consists of a citation, a gold medal, and a cash award of $10,000. Dr. Abramson is a senior research statistician at the NRC, where he has worked since 1977. In 1981, while serving as acting chief of the Applied Statistics Branch, he recieved the NRC Meritorious Service Award in recognition of his outstanding performance as both supervisor and statistician. He holds a bachelor's degree in mathematics and a PhD in mathematical statistics, both from Columbia University in New YOrk. Dr. Abramson is a member of the American Statistical Association and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. He has been teh secretary/treasurer of the ASA section on Risk Analysis since its inception and is the Science Fair Coordinator of the Washington Statistical Society" (Amstat News, Issue 304, p. 31, October 2002). October, 2002 The Intersection of Risk Analysis and Total Quality ManagementA comparison of decision analysis and design of experiments, by Robert F. Bordley, Chair, Risk Analysis Section
Aug 18, 1999 How Risk Analysis Gets Done in Large CorporationsBy Robert F. Bordley, Chair, Risk Analysis Section Practical use of risk analysis is more than simply doing mathematical calculations to determine the `optimal' choice. It requires extensive creativity in thinking about new alternatives, in scoping the problem broadly and in ensuring that all relevant constituencies have been involved. For this reason, risk analysis in large corporations is conducted in the context of a process called the Dialogue Decision Process. In this letter, I briefly summarize the process. Aug 17, 1999 Scenario and Parmaetric Sensitivity and Uncertainty AnalysesFor those who may be interested in this topic, the following book chapter on Bayesian sensitivity analysis is now available for downloading. Draper D, Saltelli A, Tarantola S (1999). Scenario and parametric sensitivity and uncertainty analyses in nuclear waste disposal risk assessment: the case of GESAMAC. In Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Sensitivity Analysis. (Saltelli A, Chan K, Scott M, eds.), New York: Wiley (forthcoming). (Shows that variance-based sensitivity analyses are not fully adequate in determining the factors most responsible for high radiologic doses arising from the failure of underground storage facilities for nuclear waste, and that about 30\% of the overall predictive uncertainty for log dose arises from uncertainty about the scenario describing how the facility will fail---a source of uncertainty previously largely ignored or treated qualitatively. Also explores the use of projection pursuit regression in sensitivity analysis.) Research Collaborations Sought at INERISTo all interested parties:Our research institute (INERIS, France) has started developing a large European research collaboration on the topic of uncertainty analysis and uncertainty reduction for risk assessment of chemicals (risks for health and environment). The project would cover all areas of risk assessment. Several of these specialty areas rely on complex models of pollutant transports and effects to evaluate risks. While these models can be mathematically sophisticated, the statistical methods used for their parameterization, inference etc. are often suboptimal (most effort being spent on developing model structure). Some of these models also tend to operate on large scales, similar in this respect to meteorologic models (regions, countries, Europe...) and their meshing why spatio-temporal data needs for example to be investigated. Research teams interested in joining the project can contact me for further information and interaction. Frederic Y. Bois, Nov 23, 1998. JSM99/Baltimore: Paper AwardThe Risk Analysis Section is pleased to announce an award of one hundred dollars ($100) for the best paper presented at JSM 1999 in Baltimore in a contributed paper session sponsored by the Section. The Award Committee, consisting of Vincent C. Arena, Bernard Harris, and Lee Abramson will appoint a Panel of ten section members to act as judges. The Risk Analysis Section hopes that the award will contribute to continuing the tradition of exciting interdisciplinary applications of risk analysis presented at the JSM.Related Newsletters
Decision
Analysis Society Newsletter
This newsletter is open to all members for contributions. You can submit announcements, links, commentaries and so on. To contribute, please send e-mail to Vincent Arena arena@pitt.edu.
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