I. DESIGN SURVEYS FOR POLICY RESEARCH: IMPACT OF MEASUREMENT AND DATA
COLLECTION STRATEGY DECISIONS ON THE NATIONAL LONG-TERM CARE DEMONSTRATIONS
Chair/Organizer: SUSAN STEPHENS, Mathematica Policy Research
Determining Whether a Complex Intervention
Occurred: The Case of the National Long Term Care Demonstration - BARBARA
R. PHILLIPS, Mathematica Policy Research, Incorporated ............... 1
Implications for Estimation of Program Impacts
When Baseline Data Are Collected Differently from Treatment and Control Groups
- RANDALL S. BROWN, Mathematica Policy Research, Incorporated; PETER MOSSEL,
Columbia University ............... 10
Estimating Mortality Impacts: A Tale of Two
Data Sources - JENNIFER SCHORE, Mathematica Policy Research, Incorporated
............... 20
Discussion - VERNON L. GREENE, Syracuse
University ............... 27
Survey Research in the Courts: Is It Legal
or Scientific? - CARL C. HOFFMAN, Hoffman Research Associates ...............
29
Survey Data as Evidence vs. Survey Data for
Decision - IRVING CRESPI, Irving Crespi and Associates ...............
38
Effects of Monetary Premium Variations on Response/Nonresponse
Bias: Representation of Black and Non-Black Respondents in Surveys of Radio
Listening - ROBERTA M. McCONOCHIE, CLAUDE A. RANKIN, The Arbitron Ratings
Company ............... 42
The Quality of the Race and Spanish Origin
Information Reported in the 1980 Census - NAMPEO R. McKENNEY, EDWARD W.
FERNANDEZ, WILFRED MASUMARA, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 46
An Assessment of the Quality of the 1980 Census
Data for American Indians - JEFFREY S. PASSEL, PATRICIA A. BERMAN, U.S.
Bureau of the Census ............... 50
Non-Sampling Errors Associated With Collection
of Agricultural Economic Data - FRED C. THORP, U.S. Department of Agriculture
............... 60
Errors and Limitations in Economic Indicators
and Agricultural Policy Analysis - JAMES JOHNSON, KENNETH BAUM, RICHARD
PRESCOTT, U.S. Department of Agriculture ............... 63
Discussion - GEORGE HOFFMAN, The Pillsbury
Company ............... 71
Variance and Inference in a Judicial Decision
- LESLIE KISH, University of Michigan; JOEL W. AGER, JR., DAVID L. WILLIAMS,
Wayne State University; A. DAVID BAUMHART, May, Gowing, Moser and Simpson
............... 73
Homogeneous Job Groups, Candidate Pools, and
Study of Employment Discrimination - DELORES A. CONWAY, University of
Southern California; HARRY V. ROBERTS, University of Chicago ...............
77
Discussion - ARLENE ASH, Boston University
Medical School ............... 87
Data Confidentiality and Public Perceptions:
The Case of the European Censuses - WILLIAM P. BUTZ, U.S. Bureau of the
Census ............... 90
Statistical and Policy Issues in the Development
of a Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey - DWIGHT K. FRENCH, Energy
Information Administration ............... 98
The Nonresidential Buildings Energy Consumption
Survey as an R&D Planning Tool - GERALD D. PINE, JAMES R. BRODRICK,
Gas Research Institute ............... 108
Constructing and Maintaining Frames and Samples
for Business Surveys - CARL A. KONSCHNIK, NASH J. MONSOUR, RUTH E. DETLEFSEN,
U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 113
A Strategy for the Provision of Frame Data
and Use of Tax Data for Economic Surveys - MICHAEL COLLEDGE, ROBERT LUSSIER,
Statistics Canada ............... 123
Recent and Future Activities to Improve Sampling
Frames for Agriculture - RON FECSO, ROBERT D. TORTORA, FREDERIC A. VOGEL,
U.S. Department of Agriculture ............... 132
Sampling Designs for Verification of Cleanup
at PCB Spill Sites - BRADLEY D. SCHULTZ, DAVID C. COX, The Washington
Consulting Group, Incorporated ............... 142
Estimation from Capture Alone: How to Estimate
the Total Number of Illegal Immigrants - DHIRENDRA N. GHOSH, SAIC ...............
148
A Method of Obtaining Group Weights from Individual
Weights in a Survey - EDWARD GBUR, U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
149
Cost-Variance Optimization for the Canadian
Labour Force Survey - G.H. CHOUDHRY, H. LEE, J.D. DREW, Statistics Canada
............... 154
Alternative Estimators of Effects and Stratum
Variances in Multistrata Designs - KAIZÔ I. BELTRÃO, DJALMA
G.C. PESSOA, Instituto de Matemática Pura e Aplicada ...............
160
Callback Response in the National Health Interview
Survey - CHARLES M. CRONER, PAUL D. WILLIAMS, SUE HSIUNG, National Center
for Health Statistics ............... 164
Sampling Strategy for an Occupational Exposure
Survey - WILLIAM KARL SIEBER, JR., National Institute for Occupational
Safety and Health ............... 170
The Behavioral Risk Factor Surveys: Design,
Methods, and Estimates from Combined State Data - EILEEN M. GENTRY, Centers
for Disease Control ............... 176
A Linked Follow-Up Study of Older People
- MARY GRACE KOVAR, JOSEPH E. FITTI, National Center for Health Statistics
............... 179
One Approach to Oversampling Blacks and Hispanics:
The National Alcohol Survey - ROBERT L. SANTOS, Temple University ...............
185
Computing Optimal Stratified Random Sampling
in Marine Environment - J.-P. CHANUT, B. PELLETIER, G. BÉGIN, Université
du Québec à Rimouski ............... 191
Optimum Sample Designs for Skewed Populations
- PATRICK M. McCARTHY, ROBERT P. CLICKNER, Applied Management Sciences ...............
197
Telephone Sample Designs for the Black Household
Population - KATHRYN M. INGLIS, ROBERT M. GROVES, STEVEN G. HEERINGA,
University of Michigan ............... 203
An Optimum Allocation Algorithm for Multivariate
Surveys - JAMES BETHEL, U.S. Department of Agriculture ...............
209
Sample Design Research for the 1985 National
Ambulatory Medical Care Survey - LINDA TOMPKINS, IRIS M. SHIMIZU, National
Center for Health Statistics ............... 213
ECI: Generalized Variances Government Sector
- STEVEN KAUFMAN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 219
Discussion - SEYMOUR SUDMAN, University
of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign ............... 225
The National Health Interview Survey as a Sampling
Frame for a National Medical Expenditure Survey: A Field Test Design -
ANDREW A. WHITE, National Center for Health Statistics; NANCY A. MATHIOWETZ,
Westat, Incorporated ............... 227
Estimation in the Southwest Component of the
Hispanic Health and Nutrition Examination Survey - JOE FRED GONZALEZ,
JR., TRENA EZZATI, National Center for Health Statistics; JOSEFINA LAGO, JOSEPH
WAKSBERG, Westat, Incorporated ............... 233
The National Center for Health Statistics Linked
Telephone Survey: A Potential Health Data Source - CECELIA B. SNOWDEN,
National Center for Health Statistics ............... 238
Efficiency of Combining Two Complex Sample
Surveys - DONNA BROGAN, RICHARD PORTER, Emory University ...............
242
A Two-Phase Sampling Plan to Identify Psychiatric
Disorders in Community - YUK-MIU LAM, JESSIE WONG, NANCY LEE, Chinese
University of Hong Kong ............... 247
Redesign of the National Health Interview
Survey - RAMESWAR P. CHAKRABARTY, U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
252
Discussion - PAUL S. LEVY, University of
Illinois at Chicago ............... 258
Combining Theory and Practice in a First Course
on Survey Methods - WILLIAM D. KALSBEEK, University of North Carolina
............... 260
Sampling and Non-Response: A Method for Deciding
Upon a Follow-Up Sampling Strategy - EDWARD J. LUSK, RUTH A. PAGELL, University
of Pennsylvania ............... 266
An Investigation of Substitution
for an RDD Survey - DAVID W. CHAPMAN, ANTHONY M. ROMAN, U.S. Bureau of
the Census ............... 269
Identifying the "Best Respondent"
for Information on the Nursing Home Resident Population--Lessons Learned from
the 1985 National Nursing Home Survey Pretest - ESTHER HING, National
Center for Health Statistics ............... 275
Constrained Optimal Designs for Polynomial
Regression - CARL M.-S. LEE, Central Michigan University ...............
280
Linear Regression Estimators in Sample Surveys
Under Calibration - JAMES J. McKEON, RAJ S. CHHIKARA, University of Houston-Clear
Lake; THOMAS BOULLION, University of Southwestern Louisiana ...............
286
On the Power of Some Goodness-of-Fit
Tests Under Cluster Sampling - D. ROLAND THOMAS, J.N.K. RAO, Carleton
University ............... 291
The Analysis of Frequency Data
Based on an Alternative Form of Constructing a Contingency Table - JEFFREY
R. WILSON, Arizona State University; WILLIAM WARDE, Oklahoma State University
............... 297
Approximate Test Statistics
for the Test of Independence For Small Samples from a Cluster Sampling Scheme
- JEFFREY R. WILSON, Arizona State University ............... 303
Outer Confidence Intervals for
Quantile Intervals of Finite Populations - JOHN S. MEYER, Albion College
............... 309
Discussion - IRIS M. SHIMIZU, National
Center for Health Statistics ............... 312
A Comparison of Indirect Variance Estimation
- D.H. FREEMAN, Dartmouth Medical School; M. LIVINGSTON, L. LEO, P. LEAF,
Yale University School of Medicine ............... 313
Estimating First and Second
Stage Population Variance Components for a Three Stage Sample Using Data From
a Two-Stage Sample in NNHS - IRIS M. SHIMIZU, National Center for Health
Statistics ............... 317
Sampling From Finite PoWulations:
Actual Coverage Probabilities for Confidence Intervals - JÖRGEN DALÉN,
Statistics Sweden ............... 322
A Variance When Data Arise From
Multistage Sampling and Ratio-Estimation - JAI W. CHOI, National Center
for Health Statistics ............... 328
An Empirical Study of Stabilities
of Variance Estimators II - CHAND MIDHA, University of Akron ...............
334
Imputation in a Periodic Survey
- PHILLIP S. KOTT, Energy Information Administration ............... 338
Modeling Interviewer Variability
for Dichotomous Variables - S. LYNNE STOKES, JOE R. HILL, University of
Texas at Austin ............... 344
Modeling Non-Ignorable Non-Response
in Panel Data - ELIZABETH A. STASNY, Ohio State University ...............
349
An Analysis of the Quality of
Data in the 1982 Puerto Rico Fertility and Family Planning Assessment
- CHARLES W. WARREN, Centers for Disease Control ............... 355
Discussion - ROBERT E. FAY,
U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 358
Item Nonresponse in the Survey
of Income and Program Participation - DAVID B. McMILLEN, DANIEL KASPRZYK,
U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 360
Characteristics of Sample Attrition
in the Survey of Income and Program Participation - EDITH McARTHUR, KATHLEEN
SHORT, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 366
Compensating for Wave Nonresponse
in the 1979 ISDP Research Panel - GRAHAM KALTON, JAMES LEPKOWSKI, University
of Michigan; TING-KWONG LIN, National University of Singapore ...............
372
Discussion - JOHN L. CZAJKA,
Mathematica Policy Research, Incorporated ............... 378
Alternative Definitions of Longitudinal
Households in the Income Survey Development Program: Implications for Annual
Statistics - CONSTANCE F. CITRO, U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
381
Do We Learn from Past Experience
When Constructing Complex Data? - PAT DOYLE, Mathematica Policy Research,
Incorporated ............... 387
Discussion - ROBERT F. TEITEL,
Teitel Data Systems ............... 392
Improved Estimates from Sample
Surveys with Empirical Bayes Methods - DOUGLAS H. JOHNSON, U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center ...............
395
Applications of the Overlapping
Information Model - STANLEY L. WARNER, York University ...............
401
Prediction Theory Approach to
Multistage Sampling When Cluster Sizes are Unknown - E.J. KELLY, Los Alamos
National Laboratory; W.G. CUMBERLAND, University of California, Los Angeles
............... 404
An Evaluation of Categorical
Data Analysis Methodology When Applied to County Estimates - NANCY J.
CARTER, California State University, Chico; DOUGLAS C. BOND, U.S. Department
of Agriculture ............... 410
Implications of the 1980 PEP
for Future Census Coverage Evaluation - ROBERT E. FAY, U.S. Bureau of
the Census ............... 413
An Illustration of Finding Optimum
Increment Size in Systematic Sampling - C.H. PROCTOR, North Carolina State
University ............... 419
Regression Analysis with Transformed
Auxiliary Variables - HSIEN-MING HUNG, University of Minnesota ...............
421
Discussion - BRADLEY D. SCHULTZ,
The Washington Consulting Group, Incorporated ............... 426
General Mortality Among Selected
Census Bureau Sample Cohorts 1979-1981 - NORMAN J. JOHNSON, U.S. Bureau
of the Census; EUGENE ROGOT, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; CLAUDIA
SANCHEZ GLOVER, U.S. Bureau of the Census; PAUL SORLIE, National Heart, Lung,
and Blood Institute; MARILYN McMILLEN, National Center for Health Statistics
............... 428
Employer Reporting Unit Match
Study (ERUMS): A Progress Report - WARREN L. BUCKLER, Social Security
Administration ............... 434
Exact Matching Lists of Businesses:
Blocking, Subfield Identification, and Information Theory - WILLIAM E.
WINKLER, Energy Information Administration ............... 438
Mortality by Cause of Death
Among Selected Census Bureau Sample Cohorts for 1979-1981 - EUGENE ROGOT,
PAUL SORLIE, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; NORMAN J. JOHNSON,
CLAUDIA S. GLOVER, U.S. Bureau of the Census; DIANE MAKUC, National Center
for Health Statistics ............... 444
Results of a Field Test Linking
the National Survey of Family Growth to the National Health Interview Survey
- DEBORAH H. BERCINI, MONROE G. SIRKEN, National Center for Health Statistics;
NANCY MATHIOWETZ, Westat, Incorporated ............... 450
Discussion - CHARLES D.
COWAN, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 455
On the Design of Randomized
Response Sampling Plan - ERDOGAN GUNEL, West Virginia University ...............
457
Results of Cognitive/Laboratory
Studies of the 1986 NHIS Dental Care Supplement - JUDITH T. LESSLER, DEBORAH
BERCINI, National Center for Health Statistics; ROGER TOURANGEAU, National
Opinion Research Center; WILLIAM SALTER, BBN ............... 460
Evaluating the Effects of Survey
Design and Administration on the Measurement of Subjective Phenomena: The
Case of Self-Assessed Health Status - KATHLEEN M. DANCHIK, THOMAS F. DRURY,
National Center for Health Statistics ............... 464
Selecting Optimal Values for
n y in the Unrelated Question Randomized Response Model - LISA A. KAMMERMAN,
Westat, Incorporated; BERNARD G. GREENBERG, DANA QUADE, University of North
Carolina ............... 470
Identifying Measurement Error
in Consumer Expenditure Reports - CLYDE TUCKER, Bureau of Labor Statistics
............... 476
The Problem of Omissions and
Telescoping Error: New Evidence from a Study of Unemployment - NANCY A.
MATHIOWETZ, Westat, Incorporated ............... 482
Determinative Characteristics
of Legal Malpractice - DONNA F. STROUP, University of Texas at Austin
............... 488
Misclassification of Categorical
Data - CHARLES D. COWAN, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 491
Coding of Occupational Categories:
A Comparison Between Expert and Survey Respondent Coders - AMY B. BERNSTEIN,
SAMUEL M. MEYERS, National Center for Health Services Research and Health
Care Technology Assessment ............... 497
Using Strength of Opinion to
Test for Nonresponse Bias in Sample Surveys - DENNIS K. PEARL, DAVID FAIRLEY,
Ohio State University ............... 503
Discussion - JUDITH T. LESSLER,
National Center for Health Statistics ............... 509
Data Collection Frequency Effect
in the National Medical Care Utilization and Expenditure Survey - STEVEN
B. COHEN, National Center for Health Services Research and Health Care Technology
Assessment; BRUCE B. COHEN, National Center for Health Statistics ...............
511
Project Link-Link: An Interactive Database
of Administrative Record Linkage Studies - JANE L. CRANE, National Center
for Education Statistics; DOUGLAS G. KLEWENO, U.S. Department of Agriculture
............... 517
Sample Size Versus Call-Back Efforts: An Empirical
Approach - DAVID J. FITCH, National Center for Health Services Research
and Health Care Technology Assessment ............... 522