ASSESSING AND MONITORING THE HEALTH OF FEDERAL STATISTICS
Statistical programs (e.g., ongoing surveys or administrative records programs) can be expected to change over time in small and large ways–from updating categories to a complete design overhaul. Some programs may be terminated and other programs added. All changes should be documented in advance, and all but standard changes (e.g., new population controls) should be subject to a public process for obtaining input. Particularly concerning are abrupt terminations of major programs without considered review and consultations with data users, the Office of Management and Budget, and Congress. The removal of taxpayer-funded data and resources to help data users access and understand the data contradicts the need for federal statistics to be accessible and transparent to data users. Abrupt termination flouts congressional authority, which has appropriated funds for the programs and explicitly authorized many of them.
Federal statistical agencies are required to post well in advance and adhere to schedules for release of their data products (e.g., indicators, reports) to foster trust and objectivity. Statistical Policy Directive No. 3 covers schedules and release procedures for Principal Federal Economic Indicators, such as the unemployment and inflation rates, which move markets and serve many other important purposes. Statistical Policy Directive No. 4 covers schedules for other data products (e.g., income and poverty reports, criminal victimization reports). Agencies must give notice if there are delays. Delays are concerning whether they are ordered by an administration (e.g., delaying a report until after an election) or whether budget and/or staffing reductions have hampered an agency’s ability to be timely.
Reduction in detail of a data product is concerning when the reduction is due to undue interference by an administration (e.g., to eliminate data for specific population groups) or to budget and/or staffing reductions that make it not possible to provide detail (e.g., an agency may lack funds to maintain survey response rates and therefore not be able to publish detail due to smaller effective sample sizes). Elimination of data products is concerning for the same reasons, particularly if there is no opportunity for public comment and consideration of trade-offs (e.g., cutting a less-used product to keep or expand a more relevant product).
A decline in agency staffing can be reason for concern because the work of federal statistical agencies is labor-intensive. Based on our tracking and analyses (included in our 2024 and 2025 reports), at least a few agencies were understaffed to an extent that affected their ability to maintain their programs, and innovate. Moreover, 11 of the 13 principal statistical agencies lost purchasing power during the last 15 years, and a majority lost more than 14%. In contrast, federal discretionary, nondefense spending—after accounting for inflation—increased 16%. The National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Economic Analysis cut products in recent years, and, as of January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics cut product detail.
Program cuts in a constrained budget environment are generally exercised after other deferments have already been executed. Training, filling vacancies, professional development, and IT upgrades are often the first to be deferred followed by program updates and redesign. Next, administrative and commercial data purchases are skipped followed by sample-size cuts. The last steps to be taken are generally program terminations and staff furloughs. Thus, program cuts like those made at BEA and BLS mean the agency’s efforts to innovate to improve efficiency and data quality, and reduce respondent burden, were already sacrificed. Not all program reductions are due to resource shortages; some program reductions are made when data products have outlived their relevance to the users.
Resource reductions have not affected all agencies uniformly. Some agencies, such as EIA, have added new products during the past year.
Professional leadership and staff who are able to design and provide objective, trustworthy, high-quality statistics are essential to enable federal statistical agencies to carry out their mission to serve the public good. Personnel actions that can undermine this mission include the following:
Statistical agencies collect data under strict statutory protections, violations of which are felonies punishable by steep fines and prison terms that were established in the Privacy Act of 1974 and Confidential Information Protection and Statistical Efficiency Act of 2002, and reaffirmed in the Evidence Act that President Trump signed into law in January 2019. The purpose of such protections is, as stated by the Evidence Act, to fulfill the requirement that statistical agencies “protect the trust of information providers by ensuring the confidentiality and exclusive statistical use of their responses” (in contrast to such nonstatistical uses as conferral of benefits or sanctions on individuals). The law also requires the head of the host agency for the statistical agency (e.g., the Department of Labor for the Bureau of Labor Statistics) to “enable, support, and facilitate statistical agencies or units in carrying out” the confidentiality and other responsibilities of the statistical agencies.
Because the data collected by statistical agencies include sensitive personal and business information, the agencies have strict protocols and sophisticated protections that have proven, time-tested effectiveness to prevent any breaches of sensitive information.
Access to these data by individuals outside the federal statistical agency who have not been approved to use the data for statistical purposes in a secure environment violates federal law. More importantly, the American people’s trust in statistical agencies would be compromised by outside, unauthorized access to these data. Without this trust that has been earned and nurtured over decades, statistical agencies will not be able to collect the data needed to produce trusted, quality statistics. Because of survey-response, sample-size, and other challenges for almost all statistical agencies, many statistical products, including BLS’s monthly employment situation releases–would be put at risk by outside, unauthorized access to statistical-agency data.
*This entry was adapted from a February 10, 2025, LinkedIn post by ASA Executive Director Ron Wasserstein.
There are numerous other situations that might reflect the health of the statistical agencies, including transparency issues (e.g., failure to forewarn of web sites going down or reduction in granularity, timeliness of forthcoming data), data quality issues, professional autonomy incursions, innovation delays, and advisory committee cuts. We also want to report on issues affecting other entities in the Interagency Council on Statistical Policy beyond the 13 principal statistical agencies.
This work is funded by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, the Annie E. Casey Foundation, and the California Community Foundation. The findings and conclusions presented in this report are those of the author(s) alone, and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of these foundations.
Steve Pierson, spierson@amstat.org